Iran w cieniu Arabskiej Wiosny – Marginalizacja Zielonego Ruchu i konflikt w Obozie Konserwatystów
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Date
2012
Authors
Journal Title
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1733-2680
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Volume Title
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Publisher
Oficyna Wydawnicza AFM
Abstract
The Arab Spring, which was initiated by the events taking place at the end of 2010 in Tunisia,
gripped much of the Middle East, including Iran. However, demonstration of support for revolutionaries
in Tunisia and Egypt, which began in Iran in February 2011 were doomed from the start
to failure. On the one hand, the regime had taken all possible measures to prevent development of
similar scenario, as in Tunisia and Egypt. On the other hand, the conflict in the conservative camp,
between the supreme leader, Ali Khamenei and the president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad attracted
growing attention of the Iranian public. The article aims to analyze the causes of the conflict in the
conservative camp, to characterize the rival political groups and will attempt to answer the question
about possible consequences of this conflict, not only for the reformists, but for the Iranian political
system, as a whole. As the results of elections to the 9th Majles show, Ali Khamenei continues to
have the greatest impact on the balance of power in the Islamic Republic, but taking into account
the growing influence of the Revolutionary Guard Corps, they may become much greater threat for
Supreme Leader than the reformists.
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Citation
Krakowskie Studia Międzynarodowe 2012, nr 1, s. 224-241.